Thanksgiving N.F.L. Guide: Which Outcomes Help Your Team Most (Even if It Isn’t Playing)

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There are three N.F.L. games this Thanksgiving — Bears at Lions (12:30 p.m. Eastern), Bills at Cowboys (4:30 p.m.) and Saints at Falcons (8:20 p.m.) — but the outcomes of these games have implications for nearly every N.F.L. team. Below, a guide for all 32 teams.

[All figures are from The Upshot’s N.F.L. simulator, an interactive calculator that encourages you to explore which outcomes matter most for your team.]

New England Patriots (10-1) You’re the Patriots! You have the best record in the league and you’ve won 10 consecutive division titles. Don’t flatter other teams by thinking about them.

Buffalo Bills (8-3) You are playing today. A win puts you solidly atop the A.F.C wild-card race. The other games shouldn’t matter to you.

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